David Rothschild
David Rothschild
Microsoft Research
Verified email at researchdmr.com - Homepage
Cited by
Cited by
The science of fake news
DMJ Lazer, MA Baum, Y Benkler, AJ Berinsky, KM Greenhill, F Menczer, ...
Science 359 (6380), 1094-1096, 2018
Forecasting elections with non-representative polls
W Wang, D Rothschild, S Goel, A Gelman
International Journal of Forecasting 31 (3), 980-991, 2015
Forecasting elections: Comparing prediction markets, polls, and their biases
D Rothschild
Public Opinion Quarterly 73 (5), 895-916, 2009
Evaluating the fake news problem at the scale of the information ecosystem
J Allen, B Howland, M Mobius, D Rothschild, DJ Watts
Science Advances 6 (14), eaay3539, 2020
Lay understanding of probability distributions.
DG Goldstein, D Rothschild
Judgment & Decision Making 9 (1), 2014
The mythical swing voter
A Gelman, S Goel, D Rivers, D Rothschild
Quarterly Journal of Political Science 11 (1), 103-130, 2016
Are public opinion polls self-fulfilling prophecies?
D Rothschild, N Malhotra
Research & Politics 1 (2), 2053168014547667, 2014
Online and social media data as an imperfect continuous panel survey
F Diaz, M Gamon, JM Hofman, E Kıcıman, D Rothschild
PloS one 11 (1), e0145406, 2016
Forecasting elections: Voter intentions versus expectations
DM Rothschild, J Wolfers
Available at SSRN 1884644, 2011
Disentangling bias and variance in election polls
H Shirani-Mehr, D Rothschild, S Goel, A Gelman
Journal of the American Statistical Association 113 (522), 607-614, 2018
Combining forecasts for elections: Accurate, relevant, and timely
D Rothschild
International Journal of Forecasting 31 (3), 952-964, 2015
Don’t blame the election on fake news. Blame it on the media
DJ Watts, DM Rothschild
Columbia Journalism Review 5, 2017
Fundamental models for forecasting elections at the state level
P Hummel, D Rothschild
Electoral Studies 35, 123-139, 2014
Non-representative surveys: Fast, cheap, and mostly accurate
S Goel, A Obeng, D Rothschild
manuscrit non publié, 2015
Trading strategies and market microstructure: Evidence from a prediction market
DM Rothschild, R Sethi
The Journal of Prediction Markets 10 (1), 1-29, 2016
One person, one vote: Estimating the prevalence of double voting in US presidential elections
S Goel, M Meredith, M Morse, D Rothschild, H Shirani-Mehr
American Political Science Review 114 (2), 456-469, 2020
President Trump stress disorder: partisanship, ethnicity, and expressive reporting of mental distress after the 2016 election
M Krupenkin, D Rothschild, S Hill, E Yom-Tov
Sage open 9 (1), 2158244019830865, 2019
A combinatorial prediction market for the US elections
M Dudík, S Lahaie, DM Pennock, D Rothschild
Proceedings of the fourteenth acm conference on electronic commerce, 341-358, 2013
High-frequency polling with non-representative data
A Gelman, S Goel, D Rothschild, W Wang
Political Communication in Real Time, 117-133, 2016
Measuring the news and its impact on democracy
DJ Watts, DM Rothschild, M Mobius
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 (15), 2021
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